Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.134878 0.144539 0.154641 0.166010 0.178473 0.191743 0.206972
2025-09-21 0.112566 0.126333 0.141610 0.159909 0.181350 0.205817 0.236055
2025-09-28 0.098556 0.114511 0.133033 0.156321 0.185096 0.219853 0.265576
2025-10-05 0.091784 0.109785 0.131496 0.159959 0.196814 0.243667 0.308970
2025-10-12 0.086051 0.105437 0.129576 0.162366 0.206580 0.265387 0.351747
2025-10-19 0.080159 0.100186 0.125791 0.161630 0.211657 0.280864 0.387322
2025-10-26 0.075373 0.095869 0.122699 0.161274 0.216847 0.296575 0.424706
2025-11-02 0.070742 0.091348 0.118878 0.159404 0.219446 0.308451 0.457342
2025-11-09 0.065773 0.086001 0.113486 0.154754 0.217364 0.312820 0.478183
2025-11-16 0.061902 0.081904 0.109525 0.151792 0.217410 0.320244 0.504693
2025-11-23 0.058554 0.078328 0.106046 0.149220 0.217717 0.327922 0.532354
2025-11-30 0.056647 0.076675 0.105206 0.150513 0.224129 0.346076 0.581030
2025-12-07 0.053359 0.072908 0.101120 0.146627 0.222020 0.349951 0.604385
2025-12-14 0.049874 0.068700 0.096173 0.141090 0.216780 0.347962 0.616343
2025-12-21 0.047270 0.065673 0.092850 0.137931 0.215297 0.352504 0.642080
2025-12-28 0.046383 0.065169 0.093349 0.140996 0.224788 0.378085 0.715725
2026-01-04 0.045317 0.064326 0.093252 0.143033 0.232591 0.401307 0.788431
2026-01-11 0.043736 0.062607 0.091661 0.142404 0.235444 0.415120 0.842143
2026-01-18 0.042334 0.061098 0.090322 0.142100 0.238840 0.430340 0.901960
2026-01-25 0.040763 0.059250 0.088331 0.140509 0.239626 0.440197 0.950282
2026-02-01 0.038822 0.056733 0.085122 0.136550 0.235493 0.439147 0.970253
2026-02-08 0.037277 0.054792 0.082784 0.134025 0.233990 0.443640 1.005903
2026-02-15 0.035887 0.053049 0.080697 0.131831 0.232967 0.449064 1.045166